NICOSIA: The Central Bank of Cyprus has outlined its cautious approach to monetary policy amidst ongoing economic uncertainties. Speaking at an event focused on the future of monetary policy, officials highlighted the European Central Bank’s (ECB) recent decision to advance its policy easing, driven by significant progress in the disinflationary process. In October, inflation was recorded at 2.0%, and the ECB is considering further rate cuts based on incoming data and projections.
According to Cyprus News Agency, the ECB’s approach to rate adjustments will be gradual and data-driven, as inflationary pressures remain a concern. The euro-area economy has experienced anaemic growth, and potential supply shocks and rising trade tensions pose risks. The ECB emphasized that striking a balance is crucial, as aggressive rate cuts could reignite inflation, while a slow pace might hinder economic recovery and market confidence.
The resilience of the European banking sector was also discussed, with key indicators from
June 2024 showing a liquidity ratio of 163.2%, an increase in the CET1 ratio to 17.5%, and a steady Non-Performing Loans ratio at 1.9%. The Single Supervisory Mechanism, celebrating its 10th anniversary, has been credited with delivering exceptional outcomes.
However, the outlook for the euro area remains uncertain due to tighter financing conditions, geopolitical tensions, and rising risks such as climate and cyber threats. The ECB and the European Banking Authority have incorporated these risks into their regulatory priorities, urging banks to align their practices accordingly.
Officials stressed that transformative changes in the European economy require a truly integrated capital markets union and the completion of the banking union with a common deposit guarantee scheme. Europe faces challenges with lower productivity levels compared to the United States and growing competition from economies like China, necessitating bold structural reforms.
The Draghi Report was highlighted as a guide to achieving t
hese goals, emphasizing the need for deeper capital markets and financial integration to close the innovation gap. Encouraging IPOs and equity investments for start-ups and scale-ups, reducing regulatory barriers, and having a single supervisor for EU capital markets are key steps toward a unified capital market.
As the euro-area navigates economic uncertainties, the resilience of the European banking sector remains essential for ensuring stability.